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A plea for Bill Moos to focus on Oregon State |
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Written by EC Rules
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Saturday, 03 July 2010 10:32 |
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Hi Bill. This is The Coug Sports Blog talking. I've got one big request for you and I think you need to make it happen this Summer. I know you would love to lock up Oregon at Qwest Field. I know that First and Goal has told you that Oregon is the bigger potential money draw and the two teams against each other virtually assures a sellout each year and big public interest in King County. I know you have visions of completely drowning out the Huskies one week out of the football season and making it all about the Northwest version of the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party (Georgia vs. Florida in Jacksonville).
The thing is, I think you have the wrong team targeted. I understand why you think Oregon is a great fit. You know better than anyone EXACTLY how much they make per home game and how much they make when they travel to Pullman. You can do the math and make this a profitable venture for them. No one ever said revenue had to be 50/50. It could be 60/40 and still make WSU a huge sum of money. You also understand just how much the Oregon group hates to travel to Pullman and you also understand just how important King County could be to grow the Duck brand/donor base all while undermining the Huskies.
Here's the problem. Duck fans don't get it. They don't understand that they are picking up money in capital donations each year and their operating budget is huge BUT they still finished running in the red by more than 600 hundred thousand dollars as recently as last fiscal year. They missed on more than $2.2 million dollars in pledged donations because of the downturn in the economy. You know that and apparently everyone knows that except for Duck fans. I know that you are just waiting for the new AD to come in and look at his operating budget. It won't take long to see easy money to fill that donations gap. Which is why I would say stop trying to climb that mountain now.
I hope you're enjoying the fishing trip right now and that you're locking down those big ticket donors. When you come back to Seattle in a few weeks I hope you put all that Duck thinking aside though. I hope you meet with First and Goal again and say, "We want to focus on an annual neutral site game with the Oregon State Beavers." Ask them what that revenue stream would look like.
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2011-2012 will test Bill Moos and Washington State |
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Written by EC Rules
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Saturday, 19 June 2010 20:42 |
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Expansion to the Pac-12 has brought the issue of TV dollars to the forefront of conversation these days. It's painfully obvious that the Pac-10 is being compensated like a league that isn't in the BCS with their current contract. Washington State pulled in 6.3 million dollars in 2009. Indiana University of the Big Ten pulled in 20 million dollars because they split revenue equally and becasue the Big Ten Commissioner is actually competent at his job. Retired Pac-10 commissioner Tom Hansen (UW grad) clearly was not.
Our current TV contract runs through the end of the 2011 season. In other words, we must endure our crap contract for two more football seasons. The pain is going to be compounded for WSU this year since we won't be very good. We might actually be closer to $5.5 million in TV revenue this season since we don't get the Notre Dame payout that we got last year. That's still better than the University of Utah which will have to deal with about 1.5-2 million dollars because of the Mountain West's contract with Versus. No wonder they are anxious to split as quickly as possible.
Ever wonder how the Pac-10 TV contract works? There has been a lot of talk about Big XII unequal revenue sharing and Pac-10 equitable revenue sharing. We know that the Pac-10 doesn't have revenue sharing across the board like the Big Ten. Jon Wilner has a fantastic explanation of how it works here . Basically there is a minimum amount that each team is guaranteed. That's the floor and then each game that's picked up thereafter for television basically gets you a bonus check. That's why USC was at close to 12 million last year and WSU sat at 6 million. I have no idea what the Pac-10 "floor" is but it would be interesting to know.
Things get really fascinating for WSU in 2011. University of Utah is on record as saying they are moving to the Pac-10 next year. Colorado had originally planned on 2012 as well. However, those plans are in flux now. What does all that mean for TV revenue splits?
Ted Miller had a really interesting blog post that told us Colorado and Utah are coming in as UNequals. Colorado will be a full revenue sharing member but Utah will not get 100% of their Pac-10 share until the 2014-2015 season.
Here are the two implications for WSU:
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Bill Moos speaks on plans at Washington State |
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Written by EC Rules
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Thursday, 17 June 2010 07:42 |
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Bill Moos was on the west side of the state this week and we learned some interesting things about Qwest game plans, Donnie Marbut, and Pac-12 alignment. The most encouraging thing is the outreach he's making across the state. His past three days were filled with meetings that ranged from high-end donors to interviews with key press outlets. Yesterday, Moos was the first Pac-10 AD to talk publicly on Pac-12 expansion when he was interviewed by Ian Furness on KJR. Furness, was absolutely giddy about landing that interview. Here are a few things we learned in talking with Moos, his staff, and a couple of boosters he met with. Moos is planning to be over in this direction about every three weeks with presence among donors and key reporters. Great news for WSU's athletic department profile and donation potential. You'd be shocked….and VERY depressed at how little this was done with the previous regime.
Here are four things we learned that you'll find interesting:
1) The twist on plans for the Qwest game in 2012 and beyond.
We told you about plans for a Red River Shootout style rivalry with Oregon about a week ago. You can read about what that would look like here . It's an awesome plan and it remains the target scenario and it would start in 2012 ideally. We'd do it every year and split seats and revenue down the middle. It would be a true neutral site game with about 3 million in proceeds to split every year. The pitch to Oregon has been made and will be again when the new AD is in office. It's pretty compelling for them as they hate to travel to Pullman and they only make about 250K a trip when they visit us. So, they'd make about the same amount as they do at Autzen when giving up a home game to play at Qwest and they'd make about 1-2 million additional dollars in years when we are giving up the home game. Additionally, there is big time value in being the "home" team in Seattle as they'd be able to have recruits on their sidelines and obviously doing that right in the heart of Huskyville is something that's very appealing to Cougs and Ducks alike. This is a no-brainer scenario and unless the Ducks hire Scott Woodward, Jr. we think that it will be locked up sometime this Summer.
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Apparently we'll make it a 12 pack |
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Written by EC Rules
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Monday, 14 June 2010 20:15 |
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Alright, the speculation is about over . It appears that the Pac-10 that was about to be the Pac-16 is actually going to wind up being the 12 Pac. This thing has been changing hourly so who knows if the scenario will be different tomorrow but it does appear that the die has been cast. The other schools are going to continue to allow disproportionate revenue for the large market programs (Texas and Oklahoma….and Texas A&M to a certain extent) and Texas will be allowed to start their own TV network. Both were non-starters for the Pac-10 and Larry Scott.
Good for Mr. Scott. Marginalizing the league in favor of one programs demands would have assured that the Pac-16 had the look of Major League Baseball rather than the NFL. Given that we are probably Pittsburgh in that simile, I would much rather have the chance to be the Pittsburgh Steelers than the Pittsburgh Pirates. It's also assured a little competitive balance for every other sport played beyond football between the schools. Rest assured, college sports aren't really balanced but it goes without saying that the USC and UCLA's don't need any more advantages than they already have.
So, what are the key questions for this Pac-12 arrangement if we are to believe that Utah is about to be the 12th program invited to the party? At a very cursory level it's a pretty nice deal in terms of competition among the two Universities coming into the fold. Both spend similar amounts on athletics to the bottom three in the Pac-10. In fact, Utah spends less than us currently. We won't go in facing the addition of two USC type programs to begin with and when all the AD's or President's get together at various conferences to decide things like revenue sharing we are more than likely to have allies with these two schools than we would have with Texas, Texas A&M, or Oklahoma.
More than anything else, in this topsy turvy world of college athletics and conference alignment, the Pac-10 has added two Universities that badly wanted to be a part of the Pac-10. Just read this incredible article on the University of Colorado and how they received the Pac-10 leadership team and you'll understand that it's more likely that we'll be able to hold these 12 teams together when things will inevitably get tougher with money or when some other conference comes knocking to try and peel away a few schools. We are more likely to see a Pac-12 with these schools still together in a decade than a Pac-16 with several schools only coming on board because of money. It doesn't assure continuity but this might be a true blessing in disguise when we look back on it a decade from now.
Let's take a look at the key things to focus on in the coming weeks as we settle into our new arrangement with our friends in Utah and Colorado:
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Who is the last school invited to the Pac-16? |
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Written by EC Rules
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Sunday, 13 June 2010 12:25 |
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We've reached the point where it's become clear that the Pac-10 wants to expand to 16 teams. If you believe the various reports around the country it looks like Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State are all leaning West. Texas A&M is leaning East. Things can still get crazy because the real power brokers here are Texas and Oklahoma. They could decide at the last minute to try and build out the Big XII again with a couple new schools, head to another conference (Big Ten, SEC, etc.) or they could close the deal with the Pac-10 and head west and wait for the last spot to be filled in the Pac-16 if Texas A&M heads to the SEC.
You can bet that Larry Scott has run all sorts of contingencies for how to fill out the checkerboard that is the expansion of six schools. He locked down his first player early with the University of Colorado. That was a no-brainer. Geographic fit, TV market fit, academic fit, and cultural fit. It made sense to offer early and remove one layer of complexity.
Now Mr. Scott appears focused on pitching the business plan to the remaining players in the Big XII that he wants. Before he extends the invitation to join he needs to know that they will accept. If you are to believe the interwebs, the Pac-10 leadership team is on a plane right now registered to Pat Kilkenney (prominent Oregon booster and former Duck AD) and today they just finished up meeting with Texas A&M and are now flying directly to Lubbock to meet with Texas Tech officials this afternoon. Yesterday, they were in Oklahoma City presumably to meet with Ok State and Univ. Oklahoma in the same city. I would be willing to bet you'll start to see press leaks tonight and tomorrow from various newspapers in Oklahoma and Texas around how those meetings went. The Board of Regents for Oklahoma and Texas meet the middle of this week so it promises to be the most consequential week of expansion talk in decades. It's conceivable that the Sooners and Longhorns could have new conferences by the end of this week. It's also worth noting that Larry Scott is headed to A&M to meet with Texas A&M officials. It seems that A&M is leaning SEC but will that change after learning of the Pac-10 plans in detail?
Read on for our thoughts on who has the inside track for the final spot in the Pac-16:
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